Basics of Major League Baseball Handicapping


It’s amazing that more people don’t bet on baseball. Furthermore, it is surprising how many experienced sports gamblers are intimidated by the money line, the lack of points spread, and the number of betting opportunities presented.

Just considering the sides and the total play in each match, there are almost 5000 betting opportunities during this season. That number does not include first half lines, drama runlines, series bets, futures bets, total season over / under winnings, etc. Adding to the confusion in the faces of new baseball gamblers is the large number of baseball statistics, some of which are aimed at betting on sports. While football handicappers are inundated with publications that display battle statistics and point distribution, there are a number of such resources for gambling slot jackpot gamblers Situs Judi Slot Online.

It’s a shame because baseball is a great opportunity to make money for sports gamblers. Baseball is a great sport for small profits day after day and week after week for several reasons – and this kind of ‘grinding’ is how true sports gambling professionals make profits in the long run. This includes many betting opportunities, and the ability to make a profit while winning less than 50% of your bet by betting underdogs. Considering that the best team loses 1/3 of their game, and the worst team wins a third of them, it is clear that there are many opportunities to find value for skilled baseball handicapper.

The purpose of this article is to introduce several “quick and dirty concepts” for baseball handicapping that will increase your profit opportunities. This is a general “general rule” that does not require technical or statistical analysis or even an understanding of the nuances of the game.

1) Try playing the underdog whenever possible: As I mentioned above, the best team loses at least sixty matches a year and the worst team wins by the same number. The rest of the league falls somewhere in the middle. Now consider the fact that the more your favorites bet, the higher your break-even percentage you need to win to make money. For example, if your average bet is -150 favorite, you must hit 60% of the winners just to break even. In -170, that number increased to 63% and so on. If you put numbers that are not godly you will see starting pitchers and public teams, you better hope they don’t experience a reversal of form.

Now let us consider the opposite equation. If your average bet is underdog +120, your break-even percentage drops to around 45.5%. At +140, it drops to more than 42% and the higher you are the lower the breakeven percentage. Keep in mind that even the Shabbiest baseball team rarely wins less than 37% of its game (for example, a team that scores 62-100 will win exactly 37% of the time), it’s clear that looking for opportunities to bet on underdogs is very important for profitable baseball betting .

2) Apply a tight ceiling to what you would bet on your favorite and follow it religiously: Even though most baseball craftsmen don’t seem to play underdogs first, small favorites can sometimes give good grades too. Often, you can get an elite team on the road as a small favorite and another situation will present itself where a small favorite is a good game. If you play a total, you should always put -110 or -120. In order for baseball bets to be successful, I suggest that you apply strict limits on how much you will put on favorites. “Cut” from -150 might be the maximum, and it doesn’t hurt to make it as low as -130 or -120.

After you set your “cut off” for favorite bets, DO NOT bet more than that. Forever. Regardless of circumstances or situations. I don’t care if it’s Jake Peavy against the worst team in baseball with a fresh pitcher of AA making his first major league begin. In the long run, it’s not feasible. The most emphasized quality needed for profitable sports betting is disciplined money management. Without discipline, it doesn’t matter how good you are at winning: you might lose money in the long run.

3) The initial pitching is overvalued: When playing baseball, too much emphasis is given to the beginner pitcher. This is understandable, of course, because line makers consider the initial thrower in setting prices for games. However, if you pay attention to baseball, you will know very well that the quality of starting throwing has reached the best level of parity, moderate

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